No more cheap oil

Probability: 95%

Timeline: 25 years

The age of cheap oil is slowly coming to an end.

People are slowly starting to wake up to this fact, but unfortunately there are a lot of organizations that depend on it and really don't want this era to end.

Short-term thinkers want to plunder and use up the last little bit we have, at the same rate that we have been for decades.

More progressive leaders realize that we need to use the remaining oil we have to develop new sustainable technologies, so that we can continue to enjoy improving (or at least consistent) quality of life.

Hopefully we won't be stupid enough to squander the last bits of fossil fuels.

Even squirrels are smart enough to put away a few nuts for the winter.

Are we as smart as our furry little friends?

Let's hope so.

War rages on

Probability: 90%

Timeline: Forever

If there has been one constant since the beginning of civilization, it is war.

In good times and bad, people always seem to manage to find things to fight about.

We kill each other for beliefs, revenge, food, water, oil, diamonds -- you name it.

I believe the number one threat to human existence has been and will continue to be -- human existence.